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State of Federal Contracting 2026

Data-driven market analysis for government contractors. Spending trends, win rates by company size, set-aside growth, and regional opportunities.

Executive Summary

$650B

Total federal contracting spend (FY2025)

28-42%

Win rate by company size

+9%

Set-aside growth YoY 2024-2025

Federal contracting spending reached $650B in FY2025, with small businesses capturing 28% of competitive awards and mid-market firms at 35%. Set-aside opportunities grew 9% year-over-year, representing $73.2B in reserved procurement. Average RFP-to-award cycle is 102-145 days depending on agency.

Why Set-Asides Matter

  • Small businesses win 35-45% of set-aside contracts vs 28% on open competitions
  • 8a, WOSB, SDVOSB, HUBZone certifications reserve $73B+ annually for eligible contractors
  • Set-aside opportunities grew 32% from 2022-2025

Track Federal Opportunities That Match Your Profile

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