Question 1

What is the Department of Commerce procurement forecast for FY2026?

Accepted Answer

Department of Commerce (Commerce) has a FY2026 budget of $12B+ (trade, industry development, standards). The procurement trend for 2026 is: Manufacturing competitiveness initiatives, trade agreement implementation, supply chain resilience programs. Key NAICS codes active at this agency include 541511, 541611, 541320.

Question 2

How can small businesses access Commerce forecast data?

Accepted Answer

Department of Commerce publishes its procurement forecast through SAM.gov, USASpending.gov, and agency-specific forecast portals. Contact the OSDBU at Office of Small Business Programs - smallbiz@commerce.gov to request upcoming acquisition forecasts directly. Many agencies publish annual small business forecasts 6-12 months in advance of RFP release.

Question 3

What types of contracts does Commerce forecast for small businesses?

Accepted Answer

Department of Commerce forecasts set-aside competitions for: Trade policy and implementation systems; Manufacturing IT and process improvement; Standards development and compliance systems. These include both new requirements and recompetes of existing contracts. Monitoring recompetes is the most reliable way to find upcoming opportunities at this agency.

Question 4

What NAICS codes should I focus on for Commerce contracts?

Accepted Answer

The highest-volume NAICS codes at Department of Commerce are: 541511, 541611, 541320, 611710, 334512. Register these in your SAM.gov profile and set up SAM.gov email alerts filtered by these codes and Commerce as the awarding agency to receive daily notifications of new solicitations.

Question 5

How far in advance does Commerce post contract forecasts?

Accepted Answer

Most federal agencies, including Department of Commerce, post procurement forecasts 6-12 months before RFP release. Follow the OSDBU (Office of Small Business Programs - smallbiz@commerce.gov) and subscribe to industry day announcements. Engaging with the agency pre-RFP — through RFI responses, capability statement submissions, and industry days — significantly increases your probability of win when the solicitation drops.

Department of Commerce

Top NAICS Codes for Commerce

Typical Procurement Areas & Recompetes

Procurement Focus & Strategy

Forecast Strategy for Contractors

How to Use This Forecast

Get Forecast Alerts for Commerce

Everything You Need to Know Before Bidding

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