Manages trade, industry, and standards. Buyer of IT systems, trade support services, and manufacturing IT.
FY2026 Budget
$12B+ (trade, industry development, standards)
OSDBU Contact
Office of Small Business Programs - smallbiz@commerce.gov
2026 Trend
Manufacturing competitiveness initiatives, trade agreement implementation, supply chain resilience programs
Top NAICS Codes for Commerce
These industry classifications represent the largest procurement focus areas.
541511
541611
541320
611710
334512
Typical Procurement Areas & Recompetes
Trade policy and implementation systems
Manufacturing IT and process improvement
Standards development and compliance systems
Business development and export services
Procurement Focus & Strategy
- Manufacturing and supply chain expertise valued
- Trade compliance expertise critical
- IT systems for commerce and trade
- Emerging technology integration (5G, AI)
Forecast Strategy for Contractors
Commerce offers manufacturing-focused opportunities. Good for firms with supply chain or export expertise. Lower contract volumes than DoD. Compliance moderate, manufacturing expertise = advantage.
How to Use This Forecast
- Monitor updates. Commerce updates their forecast quarterly. Check back every 3 months for new opportunities.
- Match your NAICS. Focus on recompetes and opportunities in your primary NAICS codes (listed above).
- Research past winners. Use WinBidIQ's USAspending data to find who won the last contract. Model your proposal after them.
- Contact early. Reach out to Office of Small Business Programs - smallbiz@commerce.gov (their small business contact) 6-12 months before RFP release to ask questions and register.
- Prepare the proposal early. Start writing 60-90 days before RFP release. When RFP drops, you're 80% done.
Get Forecast Alerts for Commerce
WinBidIQ monitors Commerce forecasts and alerts you when new pre-solicitations match your company's NAICS codes and certifications.
Start Free Trial →Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Department of Commerce procurement forecast for FY2026?
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Department of Commerce (Commerce) has a FY2026 budget of $12B+ (trade, industry development, standards). The procurement trend for 2026 is: Manufacturing competitiveness initiatives, trade agreement implementation, supply chain resilience programs. Key NAICS codes active at this agency include 541511, 541611, 541320.
How can small businesses access Commerce forecast data?
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Department of Commerce publishes its procurement forecast through SAM.gov, USASpending.gov, and agency-specific forecast portals. Contact the OSDBU at Office of Small Business Programs - smallbiz@commerce.gov to request upcoming acquisition forecasts directly. Many agencies publish annual small business forecasts 6-12 months in advance of RFP release.
What types of contracts does Commerce forecast for small businesses?
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Department of Commerce forecasts set-aside competitions for: Trade policy and implementation systems; Manufacturing IT and process improvement; Standards development and compliance systems. These include both new requirements and recompetes of existing contracts. Monitoring recompetes is the most reliable way to find upcoming opportunities at this agency.
What NAICS codes should I focus on for Commerce contracts?
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The highest-volume NAICS codes at Department of Commerce are: 541511, 541611, 541320, 611710, 334512. Register these in your SAM.gov profile and set up SAM.gov email alerts filtered by these codes and Commerce as the awarding agency to receive daily notifications of new solicitations.
How far in advance does Commerce post contract forecasts?
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Most federal agencies, including Department of Commerce, post procurement forecasts 6-12 months before RFP release. Follow the OSDBU (Office of Small Business Programs - smallbiz@commerce.gov) and subscribe to industry day announcements. Engaging with the agency pre-RFP — through RFI responses, capability statement submissions, and industry days — significantly increases your probability of win when the solicitation drops.